Line-ego Team ego O/U Line Wins
1.6 Colts 9.1 Over 7.5 2
1.6 Steelers 9.1 Over 7.5 6
1.4 Falcons 6.1 Under 7.5 3
1.4 FB Team 6.1 Under 7.5 2
1.3 Texans 10.8 Over 9.5 3
1.2 Panthers 7.7 Over 6.5 3
1.2 Jets 4.3 Under 5.5 2
1.1 Cardinals 3.4 Under 4.5 3
1.1 Ravens 11.6 Over 10.5 4
1.1 Seahawks 11.6 Over 10.5 5
1.1 Saints 6.4 Under 7.5 3
0.9 49ers 10.4 Over 9.5 7
0.9 Bears 10.4 Over 9.5 7
0.9 Broncos 10.4 Over 9.5 7
0.9 Chiefs 10.4 Over 9.5 6
0.9 Eagles 10.4 Over 9.5 2
0.9 Browns 4.6 Under 5.5 5
0.9 Raiders 4.6 Under 5.5 4
0.8 Cowboys 9.3 Over 8.5 4
0.8 Titans 5.7 Under 6.5 1
0.7 Giants 6.8 Under 7.5 5
0.6 Chargers 10.1 Over 9.5 0
0.6 Packers 10.1 Over 9.5 6
0.5 Rams 12.0 Over 11.5 5
0.4 Jaguars 8.9 Over 8.5 6
0.3 Bills 10.8 Over 10.5 7
0.3 Lions 10.8 Over 10.5 6
0.2 Dolphins 3.3 Under 3.5 1
0.2 Bengals 9.7 Over 9.5 6
0.2 Patriots 9.7 Over 9.5 5
0.2 Buccaneers 8.7 Over 8.5 3
0.2 Vikings 8.7 Over 8.5 6
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Pace Pace-ego Odds Result RROI Sportsbook
0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 – 3.8 5.3 -135 Hard Rock
1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 – 12.8 3.7 -140 Fanduel
0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 – 5.7 0.4 -140 Multiple
0 0 1 0 0 0 – 1 0 4.3 1.9 -125 Multiple
0 0 0 0 1 1 0 – 1 6.4 4.4 -135 Fanduel
0 1 0 1 – 1 0 0 0 6.4 1.3 -125 Fanduel
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 – 3.8 0.5 -105 Draftkings
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 – 5.7 2.3 -165 Caesars
1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 – 7.6 4.0 -135 Fanduel
1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 – 9.4 2.2 -115 Draftkings
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 – 1 6.4 0.0 100 Multiple
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 – 1 14.9 4.5 -130 Fanduel
1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 – 13.2 2.8 105 Multiple
0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 – 13.2 2.8 -115 Draftkings
1 1 1 1 – 1 0 0 1 12.8 2.4 -140 Fanduel
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 – 3.8 6.6 -140 Fanduel
0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 – 9.4 4.8 105 Draftkings
1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 – 7.6 3.0 125 Draftkings
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 – 7.6 1.7 -175 Fanatics
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 – 2.1 3.6 -120 Draftkings
1 0 1 1 0 0 1 – 1 10.6 3.8 -110 Multiple
0 0 0 0 0 0 – 0 0 0 10.1 -125 Fanduel
0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 – 11.3 1.2 -110 Fanduel
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 – 9.4 2.6 -120 Caesars
1 0 1 1 1 0 – 1 1 12.8 3.9 -135 Hard Rock
1 1 1 0 1 1 – 1 1 14.9 4.1 -120 Draftkings
1 0 1 0 1 – 1 1 1 12.8 2.0 -115 Draftkings
0 0 0 0 0 – 1 0 0 2.1 1.2 115 Multiple
1 1 0 0 1 – 1 1 1 12.8 3.1 -165 Fanatics
0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 – 9.4 0.3 -145 Caesars
0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 – 5.7 3.0 122 Caesars
1 1 1 1 1 – 1 0 0 12.8 4.1 -120 Multiple
Value \ Week
Components that increase model performance
Components that decrease model performance
Component success running percentage (%)
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18 20 16 20 22 15 15 16 20
14 12 16 12 8 13 13 12 10
56 59 56 58 61 60 59 59 60 – – – – – – – – –