{"id":561,"date":"2024-02-03T19:40:55","date_gmt":"2024-02-03T19:40:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=561"},"modified":"2026-02-15T21:12:10","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T21:12:10","slug":"2023-actual","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2023-actual\/","title":{"rendered":"2023 Actual"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\n2015<\/a>\n2016<\/a>\n2017<\/a>\n2018<\/a>\n2019<\/a>\n2020 Predicted<\/a>\n2020 Actual<\/a>\n2021 Predicted<\/a>\n2021 Actual<\/a>\n2022 Predicted<\/a>\n2022 Actual<\/a> \n2023 Predicted<\/a>\n2023 Actual<\/a>\n2024 Predicted<\/a>\n2024 Actual<\/a>\n2025 Predicted<\/a>\n2025 Actual<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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ORG<\/th>\nDivision<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Cowboys (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Ravens (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Bills (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Lions (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chiefs (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n 49ers (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Dolphins (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Steelers (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Rams (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Buccaneers (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Browns (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Eagles (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Texans (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Packers (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Vikings<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chargers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n
32<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Wins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\nPower<\/th>\nTalent<\/th>\nBalance<\/th>\nNotes (All Rankings Are Points-Based [For and Against] \/ Expected Wins Are From Pro Football Reference)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
12 (2)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 87 (9)<\/td>\n 100 (1)<\/td>\n 85 (9)<\/td>\n 112 (2)<\/td>\n 115 (4)<\/td>\n Lost in WC Round vs GB (1st 7th seed to ever win)\/#1 in OFF\/#5 in DEF\/DC left\/QB needs new contract\/Star WR on rookie contract\/HC on hot seat<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (1)<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n 90 (2)<\/td>\n 92 (2)<\/td>\n 91 (4)<\/td>\n 95 (6)<\/td>\n 89 (11)<\/td>\n Lost AFC Champ vs KC\/#4 in OFF\/#1 in DEF\/Bizarre playoff performance\/1st peak of champ window\/1st Team All-Pro QB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (5)<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 86 (11)<\/td>\n 91 (3)<\/td>\n 94 (1)<\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/td>\n 91 (8)<\/td>\n Lost Div Round vs KC (again)\/Started 6-6,5-0 after the bye\/6-6 in Poss Games\/Highest Power in the league\/4th peak of champ window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (2)<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 89 (4)<\/td>\n 88 (7)<\/font><\/td>\n 83 (15)<\/td>\n 93 (9)<\/td>\n 92 (7)<\/td>\n Lost NFCCG @ SF (controversial decisions)\/#5 in OFF\/#23 in DEF\/1st peak of champ window (in good shape)\/Will start spending cap (raise Power)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
11 (5)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 87 (7)<\/td>\n 89 (5)<\/td>\n 92 (3)<\/td>\n 99 (5)<\/td>\n 72 (24)<\/td>\n Won SB vs SF\/QB won 1st road playoff games\/#15 in OFF\/#2 in DEF\/Started 6-1,Then 3-4,Finished 2-0\/Champ Window starting to show cracks<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 84 (15)<\/td>\n 91 (4)<\/td>\n 92 (2)<\/td>\n 89 (10)<\/td>\n 90 (10)<\/td>\n Missed playoffs\/Brutal season\/Young franchise QB injured preseason,tried to play through it\/Wasted 2nd Peak of Champ Window,Tough Decisions Coming<\/td>\n <\/tr>
12 (2)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 86 (10)<\/td>\n 88 (6)<\/td>\n 69 (28)<\/td>\n 123 (1)<\/td>\n 91 (9)<\/td>\n Lost SB vs KC\/#3 in OFF\/#3 in DEF\/Started 5-0,Then 0-3,Then 6-0,Finished 1-2\/#1 Seed with Power of 69 is insane,future is bright\/DC to ATL HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (5)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 89 (6)<\/td>\n 94 (8)<\/td>\n 76 (20)<\/td>\n Lost Wild Card @ KC\/#2 in OFF\/#22 in DEF\/#1 in Rush TD,#4 in Pass TD\/DC fired\/Brutal injuries late in season\/Started 9-3,Finished 2-3\/Big jump in EFF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 89 (5)<\/td>\n 85 (10)<\/td>\n 88 (7)<\/td>\n 81 (16)<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ BUF\/#28 in OFF\/#6 in DEF\/Started 3 QBs\/7.9 EXP Wins (PFR)\/9-2 in 1-Poss Games\/Another season above 0.500\/At sort of a crossroads with HC,QB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 85 (14)<\/td>\n 84 (13)<\/td>\n 60 (32)<\/td>\n 94 (7)<\/td>\n 120 (1)<\/td>\n Year 2 of “rebuild” post-SB\/Amazing comeback season,especially for QB,HC\/Greatest season ever for rookie WR\/Making playoffs with 60 Power is crazy<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 81 (21)<\/td>\n 87 (9)<\/td>\n 82 (16)<\/td>\n 81 (17)<\/td>\n 103 (5)<\/td>\n Top 10 OFF,Top 10 DEF but missed playoffs\/10.5 EXP Wins (PFR)\/3-6 in 1-Poss Games\/HC on hot seat,OC parted ways\/Unique(ly bad) cap situation<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (20)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 83 (18)<\/td>\n 84 (12)<\/td>\n 84 (13)<\/td>\n 84 (13)<\/td>\n 85 (15)<\/td>\n #19 in OFF\/#27 in DEF\/#25 in SRS (PFR)\/Started 1-5,Then 5-0,Finished 2-4\/Benched big-money QB at 7-8 for not signing away injury guarantee<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82 (20)<\/td>\n 85 (11)<\/td>\n 61 (31)<\/td>\n 101 (3)<\/td>\n 116 (3)<\/td>\n Lost Div Round @ DET\/Started 3-1,Then 1-6 after bye,Finished 5-1\/Won NFCS with 61 Power\/Finished Post-SB recovery but QB,star WR uncertain future<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 84 (16)<\/td>\n 82 (14)<\/td>\n 90 (5)<\/td>\n 87 (11)<\/td>\n 61 (27)<\/td>\n Started 8-3(3-1 in 1-Poss Games),Finished 1-5(0-3 in 1-Poss Games)\/Total collapse,Fired entire DEF staff\/Champ window in bad shape(High Power,Low EFF)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (5)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 89 (3)<\/font><\/td>\n 77 (21)<\/td>\n 77 (18)<\/td>\n 84 (12)<\/td>\n 68 (25)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ HOU in blowout\/#1 in Yards Allowed\/9.4 EXP Wins (PFR)\/Five (5) Starting Quarterbacks with at least 1 win\/QB contract issues ahead<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (5)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 90 (1)<\/td>\n 75 (26)<\/font><\/td>\n 71 (25)<\/td>\n 100 (4)<\/td>\n 58 (30)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ TB in blowout\/#7 in OFF\/#30 in DEF\/Started 10-1,Finished 1-5(total collapse)\/Fired OC,DC after season\/Punished for “pushing” with high dead cap<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 87 (6)<\/td>\n 76 (23)<\/td>\n 77 (19)<\/td>\n 78 (19)<\/td>\n 73 (23)<\/td>\n Lost Div Round @ BAL\/Won AFCS with Rookie HC,QB(both deserving of awards)\/Pressure now shifts to Front Office coming out of Post-Watson rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 79 (17)<\/td>\n 65 (29)<\/td>\n 68 (27)<\/td>\n 117 (2)<\/td>\n 1st 7th Seed to win\/Lost Div Round @ SF\/#12 in OFF\/#10 in DEF\/Started 3-6,Finished 6-2\/Youngest OFF starters in the league\/Rebuild Post-Rodgers finished<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/font><\/td>\n 76 (24)<\/td>\n 85 (8)<\/td>\n 74 (21)<\/td>\n 59 (28)<\/td>\n 7.5 EXP Wins (PFR)\/Started 6-3,Then 0-4,Finished 3-1\/Fired HC(who had roster control)\/Swept by LAR(60 Power)\/Vet QB overpaid\/Messy champ window situation<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 78 (26)<\/td>\n 82 (15)<\/td>\n 81 (17)<\/td>\n 80 (18)<\/td>\n 84 (16)<\/td>\n Started 2-7,Finished 5-3\/HC on hot seat during season(still is)\/Performed better than expected,could have opened Champ Window,now stuck with big QB decision<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 79 (25)<\/td>\n 79 (16)<\/td>\n 74 (20)<\/td>\n 81 (15)<\/td>\n 87 (12)<\/td>\n Started 1-4,Then 5-0,Finished 1-6\/Could be relaunch of rebuild after last season’s surprise success,problems for delaying Post-Zimmer rebuild last season<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 80 (24)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (18)<\/td>\n 84 (11)<\/td>\n 70 (26)<\/td>\n 75 (22)<\/td>\n Fired HC after 3rd season\/Started 4-3,Finished 3-7\/Young core,pieces are there but struggled to fit them together,QB is necessary for champ window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 81 (22)<\/td>\n 76 (25)<\/td>\n 84 (12)<\/td>\n 57 (30)<\/td>\n 77 (18)<\/td>\n #29 in OFF\/#12 in DEF\/#28 in SRS\/Started 4-3,Then 0-5,Finished 3-2\/Huge money QB injured on 1st drive of season\/Major setback,horrible Power,EFF situation<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 86 (12)<\/td>\n 70 (29)<\/td>\n 73 (21)<\/td>\n 75 (20)<\/td>\n 59 (29)<\/td>\n #10 in OFF\/#28 in DEF\/Started 3-5,Then 4-0,Finished 2-3\/Lost “Winner to Playoffs\/Loser Stays Home” vs HOU\/Rookie QB only played 4 games\/Rookie HC outclassed GM<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (26)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 77 (27)<\/font><\/td>\n 77 (20)<\/td>\n 70 (26)<\/td>\n 71 (24)<\/td>\n 97 (6)<\/td>\n #27 in OFF\/#16 in DEF\/HC fired after season(won COTY in 2021)\/ORG never found steady OC(4 since 2018)\/Transitioned to rookie QB,1st season of rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (20)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 82 (19)<\/font><\/td>\n 71 (28)<\/td>\n 70 (27)<\/td>\n 71 (25)<\/td>\n 75 (21)<\/td>\n #23 in OFF\/#9 in DEF\/Fired HC,OC,GM after 3-5,Finished 5-4\/Interim HC hired 2024 HC\/Power,EFF situation a mess,Future QB unknown<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (28)<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 72 (29)<\/font><\/td>\n 76 (22)<\/font><\/td>\n 83 (14)<\/td>\n 72 (22)<\/td>\n 67 (26)<\/td>\n Arguably worst season in league\/HC,GM fired after Week 15\/Collapse on every level,7.1 EXP Win (PFR),High Power,Low EFF\/New HC with experience to rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 71 (31)<\/td>\n 77 (19)<\/td>\n 85 (10)<\/td>\n 54 (32)<\/td>\n 86 (14)<\/td>\n Season so bad that legendary HC,GM had to be fired\/#31 in OFF\/#15 in DEF\/Now stuck in limbo with rookie HC, rough Power,EFF situation with no QB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (26)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 81 (23)<\/td>\n 63 (32)<\/td>\n 72 (23)<\/td>\n 58 (28)<\/td>\n 49 (32)<\/td>\n #30 in OFF\/#26 in DEF\/4.5 EXP Wins (PFR)\/Lowest GM Score,Bad QB with big contract signed before season instead of star RB\/DC quit after season<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n 71 (30)<\/td>\n 71 (27)<\/td>\n 64 (30)<\/td>\n 71 (23)<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n #24 in OFF\/#31 in DEF\/5.4 EXP Wins (PFR)\/2-5 in 1-Poss Games\/Star QB missed 1st 9 games\/Beat 3 playoff teams (DAL,PIT,PHI),1st season of rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 75 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 63 (31)<\/td>\n 73 (22)<\/td>\n 54 (31)<\/td>\n 52 (31)<\/td>\n #32 in SRS\/Fired DC after Week 12,Fired HC,OC,GM after season\/Need QB\/1st season with new owners,1st leadership decisions<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2 (32)<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 63 (32)<\/font><\/td>\n 69 (30)<\/font><\/td>\n 71 (24)<\/td>\n 58 (29)<\/td>\n 76 (19)<\/td>\n #31 in OFF\/#29 in DEF\/Lowest Coach Score\/HC fired after Week 12\/Fired GM after season,traded star WR,2 1sts,2 2nds for underperforming rookie QB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 NFCE Cowboys (2) 2 AFCN Ravens (1) 3 AFCE Bills (2) 4 NFCN Lions (3) 5 AFCW Chiefs (3) 6 AFCN […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 NFCE Cowboys (2) 2 AFCN Ravens (1) 3 AFCE Bills (2) 4 NFCN Lions (3) 5 AFCW Chiefs (3) 6 AFCN…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=561"}],"version-history":[{"count":85,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7159,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/561\/revisions\/7159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}