{"id":4430,"date":"2025-01-27T02:29:49","date_gmt":"2025-01-27T02:29:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=4430"},"modified":"2025-09-20T16:40:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T16:40:18","slug":"2024-homepage","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2024-homepage\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Homepage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
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\n2024 Actual Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
ORG Rnk<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\nWins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n Chiefs (1)<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 97<\/td>\n 97<\/td>\n 97<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n Lions (1)<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 95<\/td>\n 90<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n Vikings (5)<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 94<\/font><\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n Ravens (3)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\n Eagles (2)<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n Chargers (5)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\n Packers (7)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n Steelers (6)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n Rams (4)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n Bills (2)<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n FB Team (6)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n Buccaneers (3)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n Texans (4)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n Broncos (7)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n Cowboys<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n Dolphins<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 72<\/font><\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 72<\/font><\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 74<\/font><\/td>\n 71<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n 49ers<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 61<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 70<\/font><\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 72<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 68<\/td>\n 75<\/font><\/td>\n 62<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 68<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 67<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 67<\/td>\n 71<\/font><\/td>\n 63<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 67<\/td>\n 65<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n

_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n2024 Win Total Futures Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Team<\/th>\nego<\/th>\nO\/U<\/th>\nLine<\/th>\nPace<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\nRROI<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Chargers<\/td>\n 5.40<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -100%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Steelers<\/td>\n 10.43<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 21.5<\/td>\n 7.50%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Dolphins<\/td>\n 11.59<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -28.33%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bears<\/td>\n 10.43<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -46.25%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
FB Team<\/td>\n 4.63<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -57.00%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Broncos<\/td>\n 4.24<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -64.17%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cowboys<\/td>\n 11.20<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 0<\/td> \n -69.29%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Vikings<\/td>\n 6.18<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -73.13%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Panthers<\/td>\n 4.24<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 5.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 21<\/td>\n -52.78%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bills<\/td>\n 9.27<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -57.50%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Browns<\/td>\n 9.66<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -61.36%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Ravens<\/td>\n 11.59<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 20<\/td>\n -47.92%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chiefs<\/td>\n 12.36<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 19.09<\/td>\n -37.24%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bengals<\/td>\n 9.66<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 20.5<\/td>\n -27.08%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jets<\/td>\n 9.66<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 16.9<\/td>\n -20.67%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cardinals<\/td>\n 7.34<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 16.67<\/td>\n -15.21%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Patriots<\/td>\n 3.86<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 4.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 21<\/td>\n -7.85%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Saints<\/td>\n 8.11<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -12.97%<\/td> \n<\/tr>\n
Buccaneers<\/td>\n 8.11<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 17.58<\/td>\n -8.29%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Texans<\/td>\n 10.04<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 17.14<\/td>\n -4.31%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Falcons<\/td>\n 10.04<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -8.87%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Colts<\/td>\n 8.11<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 18.7<\/td>\n -4.51%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Rams<\/td>\n 8.88<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 16.25<\/td>\n -1.60%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jaguars<\/td>\n 8.88<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -5.70%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Titans<\/td>\n 6.18<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 17.81<\/td>\n -2.34%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Giants<\/td>\n 6.18<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 18<\/td>\n 0.82%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Raiders<\/td>\n 6.18<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 22<\/td>\n 5.24%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Eagles<\/td>\n 10.82<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 17.69<\/td>\n 7.80%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Lions<\/td>\n 10.82<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 17.69<\/td>\n 10.18%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Seahawks<\/td>\n 7.34<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 6.51%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Packers<\/td>\n 9.66<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 17.41<\/td>\n 8.69%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
49ers<\/td>\n 11.59<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 5.29%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\nComparisons\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Prediction<\/th>\nMedian Error<\/th>\nAVG Error<\/th>\nAll 32 ROI<\/th>\nType<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
NFL (Freelund)<\/a><\/td>\n 2.30<\/td>\n 2.67<\/td>\n 27.47%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
CBS Sports (Brinson)<\/a><\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.59<\/td>\n 41.08%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Caesars<\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.78<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Fanduel<\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.84<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
bet365<\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.91<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
BetMGM<\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.94<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>
Draftkings<\/td>\n 2.50<\/td>\n 2.94<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
PFF<\/a><\/td>\n 2.78<\/td>\n 2.90<\/td>\n -11.34%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n\n <\/tr>\n
ESPN (Clay)<\/a><\/td>\n 2.85<\/td>\n 3.29<\/td>\n -44.90%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
The Athletic (Staff)<\/a><\/td>\n 3.05<\/td>\n 3.00<\/td>\n -23.13%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
ego<\/td>\n 3.14<\/td>\n 3.10<\/td>\n 5.29%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
The Athletic (Tafur)<\/a><\/td>\n –<\/td>\n –<\/td>\n -13.50%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n*Reminder that the primary goal of this project is not about generating the highest ROI or the lowest error in terms of the Win Total prediction. The goal is to accurately portray what should happen given the economic environment of the league and conditions of the organizations within, not what I think will actually happen.*\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n
\nFor Projections that did not come with lines\/odds for the predictions, the same lines\/odds options that were available for ego were used.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\nTop 10 Most Efficient Players\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Player<\/th>\nOrganization<\/th>\nPosition<\/th>\nAV\/CAP%<\/th>\nAV<\/th>\nCAP%<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Brock Purdy<\/td>\n 49ers<\/td>\n Quarterback<\/td>\n 33.33<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0.39%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bucky Irving<\/td>\n Buccaneers<\/td>\n Running Back<\/td>\n 31.58<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 0.38%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Kaevon Merriweather<\/td>\n Buccaneers<\/td>\n Safety<\/td>\n 30.00<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 0.10%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Zach Baun<\/td>\n Eagles<\/td>\n Linebacker<\/td>\n 28.57<\/td>\n 18<\/td>\n 0.63%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Kerby Joseph<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n Safety<\/td>\n 25.93<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 0.54%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Nik Bonitto<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n Linebacker<\/td>\n 25.81<\/td>\n 16<\/td>\n 0.64%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Rasheed Walker<\/td>\n Packers<\/td>\n Offensive Tackle<\/td>\n 25.64<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.39%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chase Brown<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n Running Back<\/td>\n 25.64<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.39%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Khalil Shakir<\/td>\n Bills<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 23.81<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.42%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Puka Nacua<\/td>\n Rams<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 23.68<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0.38%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\nAV from ProFootballReference<\/a> \/ CAP% from Sportrac<\/a> \/ Min. AV of 3\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2024 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Chiefs (1) 15 97 97 97 2 Lions (1) 15 93 95 90 3 Vikings (5) 14 92 94 90 4 Ravens (3) 12 91 88 94 5 Eagles (2) 14 90 92 88 6 Chargers (5) 11 88 86 90 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2024 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Chiefs (1) 15 97 97 97 2 Lions (1) 15 93 95 90 3 Vikings (5) 14 92 94 90 4 Ravens (3) 12 91 88 94 5 Eagles (2) 14 90 92 88 6 Chargers (5) 11 88 86 90…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4430"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4430"}],"version-history":[{"count":100,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4430\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7184,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4430\/revisions\/7184"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}