{"id":4307,"date":"2025-01-18T17:34:46","date_gmt":"2025-01-18T17:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=4307"},"modified":"2026-02-14T21:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T21:00:12","slug":"2024-actual","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2024-actual\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Actual"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\n2015<\/a>\n2016<\/a>\n2017<\/a>\n2018<\/a>\n2019<\/a>\n2020 Predicted<\/a>\n2020 Actual<\/a>\n2021 Predicted<\/a>\n2021 Actual<\/a>\n2022 Predicted<\/a>\n2022 Actual<\/a> \n2023 Predicted<\/a>\n2023 Actual<\/a>\n2024 Predicted<\/a>\n2024 Actual<\/a>\n2025 Predicted<\/a>\n2025 Actual<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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ORG<\/th>\nDivision<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chiefs (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Lions (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Vikings (5)<\/td>\n
4<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Ravens (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Eagles (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chargers (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Packers (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Steelers (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Rams (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Bills (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n FB Team (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Buccaneers (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Texans (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Broncos (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Cowboys<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Dolphins<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n
24<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n 49ers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n
28<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n
32<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Wins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\nPower<\/th>\nTalent<\/th>\nBalance<\/th>\nNotes (All Rankings Are Points-Based [For and Against] \/ Expected Wins Are From Pro Football Reference)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
15 (1)<\/td>\n 97<\/td>\n 97 (1)<\/td>\n 97 (1)<\/td>\n 93 (1)<\/td>\n 94 (10)<\/td>\n 108 (5)<\/td>\n Lost SB vs PHI\/#15 in OFF\/#4 in DEF\/10.2 EXP Wins\/11-0 in 1-Poss. Games\/7th Season of Champ Window\/1st #1 Coach & #1 GM since 2020 GB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15 (1)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 95 (2)<\/td>\n 90 (5)<\/font><\/td>\n 76 (12)<\/td>\n 118 (1)<\/td>\n 91 (11)<\/td>\n Lost Div Rd vs WSH\/#1 in OFF\/#7 in DEF\/Low Power for 2nd peak(6th in cap space,conservative)\/GM of the Year(back-2-back)\/OC to CHI HC\/DC to NYJ HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14 (3)<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 94 (3)<\/font><\/td>\n 90 (4)<\/td>\n 69 (27)<\/td>\n 110 (3)<\/td>\n 112 (3)<\/td>\n Lost WC vs LAR (27-9)\/#9 in OFF\/#5 in DEF\/Coach of the Year (95 in ’22, didn’t win)\/14 Wins with bridge QB,Power <70\/New QB in '25<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (6)<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n 88 (7)<\/td>\n 94 (2)<\/td>\n 90 (4)<\/td>\n 109 (4)<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n Lost Div Round @ BUF\/#3 in OFF (#1 in Yards)\/#9 in DEF\/Beat BUF at home 35-10 in Wk4, 3-seed b\/c bad losses Wk2 (vs LVR) & Wk8 (@ CLE)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14 (3)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 92 (4)<\/td>\n 88 (8)<\/td>\n 72 (21)<\/td>\n 113 (2)<\/td>\n 97 (8)<\/td>\n Won SB vs KC\/#7 in OFF\/#2 in DEF\/1st season w\/ new OC,DC\/$60M+ in dead cap caused low Power\/Great drafting allows FO to be aggresssive<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (8)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 86 (12)<\/td>\n 90 (6)<\/td>\n 75 (13)<\/td>\n 100 (7)<\/td>\n 109 (4)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ HOU (32-12)\/#11 in OFF\/#1 in DEF(#24 in ’24)\/1st season of new HC,OC,DC\/New GM teardown($60M+ in dead cap)\/Pseudo-rebuild year<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (8)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 85 (14)<\/td>\n 90 (3)<\/td>\n 70 (26)<\/td>\n 101 (6)<\/td>\n 121 (1)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ PHI (22-10)\/#8 in OFF\/#6 in DEF\/3rd in NFCN\/$60M+ dead cap playoff team\/10th in cap space,likely saving to re-sign young talent<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87 (10)<\/td>\n 88 (9)<\/td>\n 84 (8)<\/td>\n 95 (9)<\/td>\n 89 (12)<\/td>\n Lost WC @ BAL\/#16 in OFF\/#8 in DEF\/1st season of new OC\/Started 3-2,then 7-1,finished 0-4\/QB,long-term plans uncertain\/2nd peak season?<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87 (11)<\/td>\n 88 (10)<\/td>\n 85 (7)<\/td>\n 66 (24)<\/td>\n 114 (2)<\/td>\n Lost Div Rd @ PHI(close game)\/#20 in OFF\/#17 in DEF\/#16 in SRS,won NFCW\/injuries to start season,had 9-2 stretch\/shallow window due to shallow rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (5)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 90 (6)<\/td>\n 81 (13)<\/td>\n 71 (24)<\/td>\n 87 (13)<\/td>\n 98 (7)<\/td>\n Lost AFCCG @ KC(32-29)\/#2 in OFF\/#11 in DEF\/QB won MVP\/75M+ dead cap\/Lowest Power for BUF since ’18\/Champ window extended due to weak AFCE<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (16)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 82 (17)<\/td>\n 89 (7)<\/td>\n 93 (2)<\/td>\n 87 (12)<\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/td>\n Missed playoffs at 9-8 again(2nd&3rd peak seasons,cap issues now,champ window over?)\/#6 in OFF\/#25 in DEF\/4-7 in 1-Poss games\/Fired DC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (6)<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 91 (5)<\/td>\n 80 (15)<\/td>\n 73 (18)<\/td>\n 97 (8)<\/td>\n 76 (21)<\/td>\n Lost NFCCG @ PHI\/Win Total line of 6.5\/New HC,OC,DC,Rookie QB\/#5 in OFF\/#18 in DEF\/Pseudo-rebuilds in ’23,’24,but will push hard in ’25<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 81 (20)<\/td>\n 85 (11)<\/td>\n 72 (22)<\/td>\n 92 (11)<\/td>\n 106 (6)<\/td>\n Lost WC vs WAS\/#4 in OFF\/#16 in DEF\/4th-straight NFCS title,$60M+ in dead cap,stretching window from ’20 thanks to NFCS dysfunction<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 88 (8)<\/td>\n 73 (21)<\/td>\n 82 (10)<\/td>\n 73 (18)<\/td>\n 55 (28)<\/td>\n Lost Div Round @ KC\/#19 in OFF\/#14 in DEF\/Weak OL caused major issues\/Pressure in ’25 for big 2nd peak season,failed to raise EFF during rebuild<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (17)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 80 (21)<\/td>\n 80 (14)<\/td>\n 83 (9)<\/td>\n 72 (19)<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n Missed playoff by 3 wins\/#12 in OFF\/#15 in DEF\/#12 in SRS\/Champ window opening no schedule after back-2-back 4-win seasons\/Expect push in ’25<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 82 (16)<\/td>\n 78 (17)<\/td>\n 63 (31)<\/td>\n 102 (5)<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n #10 in OFF\/#3 in DEF\/$89M might be the most dead cap for a playoff team ever?\/Unlikely turnaround after Wilson trade,will try to recycle aborted window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (21)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 81 (19)<\/td>\n 78 (16)<\/td>\n 81 (11)<\/td>\n 60 (28)<\/td>\n 91 (10)<\/td>\n #21 in OFF\/#31 in DEF\/Likely the close of the 2016-23 champ window\/Let HC walk away\/QB with massive cap hits,All-Pro lineman retired<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (10)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 88 (9)<\/td>\n 71 (24)<\/td>\n 75 (15)<\/td>\n 76 (16)<\/td>\n 60 (27)<\/td>\n #18 in OFF\/#11 in DEF\/Weak OL caused issues,QB did good job overcoming\/Fired OC\/Roster still a mess\/Released vet WR,vet QB after season<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (17)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 84 (15)<\/td>\n 74 (20)<\/td>\n 92 (3)<\/td>\n 75 (17)<\/td>\n 39 (32)<\/td>\n Disaster season despite 8-9\/#13 in OFF\/#23 in DEF\/GM overspent,signed QB to massive contract & drafted QB in 1st RD\/Shallow rebuild to shallow window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (17)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n 72 (22)<\/td>\n 90 (5)<\/td>\n 68 (22)<\/td>\n 42 (31)<\/td>\n Different kind of disaster than ATL,but 8-9 with high Power\/#17 in OFF\/#24 in DEF\/Pushed too quickly after ’22-’23 rebuild\/QB uncertainty<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (17)<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 82 (18)<\/td>\n 75 (19)<\/td>\n 70 (25)<\/td>\n 78 (15)<\/td>\n 80 (19)<\/td>\n Disappointing 8-9 team,Injuries were problem\/This late into champ window,why didn’t they find replacement QB for injured QB?,window closed?<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (23)<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 72 (26)<\/font><\/td>\n 83 (12)<\/td>\n 86 (6)<\/td>\n 78 (14)<\/td>\n 83 (15)<\/td>\n Turns out HC was the problem,fired after Wk13(too late)\/Scheduled to be 1st peak,now scrambling to right course,expect high spending for ’25<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (23)<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 72 (27)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (18)<\/td>\n 75 (14)<\/td>\n 67 (23)<\/td>\n 94 (9)<\/td>\n Fired HC after Wk9(too late)\/2-6 in 1-Poss. Games overall\/Wasted season,in cap hell,underwhelming roster,old QB,future uncertain<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (23)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 74 (25)<\/font><\/td>\n 71 (25)<\/font><\/td>\n 74 (16)<\/td>\n 68 (21)<\/td>\n 67 (25)<\/td>\n Signs of extreme dysfunction\/Fired HC after 2-3 start\/Fired GM after Wk11\/3rd-fewest Yards Allowed,#20 in DEF\/Complete teardown<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (22)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 75 (23)<\/td>\n 69 (27)<\/td>\n 72 (19)<\/td>\n 59 (29)<\/td>\n 72 (23)<\/td>\n Horrible injury luck,including carryover from Greenlaw&McCaffrey\/Huge hit to 2019-’23 champ window\/Last season of QB on rookie deal?<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (23)<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 80 (22)<\/td>\n 61 (32)<\/td>\n 72 (20)<\/td>\n 55 (31)<\/td>\n 43 (30)<\/td>\n #32 in DEF\/Started 1-7,then 2-4,finished 2-1\/2nd year QB benched but re-earned his spot\/Expect spending in ’25 to surround QB with talent<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (27)<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 70 (29)<\/font><\/td>\n 69 (26)<\/font><\/td>\n 74 (17)<\/td>\n 62 (26)<\/td>\n 67 (26)<\/td>\n Culmination of GM’s Power-fueled champ window,failed to raise EFF before spending\/Roster will need to be turned over for new HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (30)<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 66 (31)<\/td>\n 72 (23)<\/font><\/td>\n 68 (28)<\/td>\n 70 (20)<\/td>\n 82 (18)<\/td>\n 1st year of rebuild but owner fired 2nd-year GM(red flag)\/’23 2nd-round QB does not look like the guy\/#1 overall pick in ’25 draft<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (27)<\/td>\n 68<\/td>\n 75 (24)<\/font><\/td>\n 62 (31)<\/font><\/td>\n 67 (30)<\/td>\n 65 (25)<\/td>\n 49 (29)<\/td>\n Started 2-2,then 0-10,finished 2-1\/Fired HC,GM after 1 season\/Failed to enter rebuild after 2019-’21 champ window\/Lots of work to do<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (30)<\/td>\n 68<\/td>\n 69 (30)<\/td>\n 67 (29)<\/td>\n 71 (23)<\/td>\n 57 (30)<\/td>\n 69 (24)<\/td>\n #32 in OFF\/Albatross of QB trade,deal continues as organization falls apart\/Champ window almost certainly closed(especially in AFCN)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (27)<\/td>\n 67<\/td>\n 71 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 63 (30)<\/td>\n 62 (32)<\/td>\n 51 (32)<\/td>\n 76 (22)<\/td>\n Fired rookie HC in first rebuild season(red flag)\/Rookie QB looks like the guy\/Has openly expressed desire to spend in ’25<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (30)<\/td>\n 67<\/td>\n 65 (32)<\/td>\n 69 (28)<\/td>\n 67 (29)<\/td>\n 61 (27)<\/td>\n 78 (20)<\/td>\n #31 in OFF\/Released QB midseason(signed 4yr\/$160M contract before ’23)\/Surprisingly did not fire HC or GM\/Hard reset required<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCW Chiefs (1) 2 NFCN Lions (1) 3 NFCN Vikings (5) 4 AFCN Ravens (3) 5 NFCE Eagles (2) 6 AFCW […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCW Chiefs (1) 2 NFCN Lions (1) 3 NFCN Vikings (5) 4 AFCN Ravens (3) 5 NFCE Eagles (2) 6 AFCW…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4307"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4307"}],"version-history":[{"count":85,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4307\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7139,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4307\/revisions\/7139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}