{"id":32,"date":"2023-12-06T05:19:38","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T05:19:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=32"},"modified":"2025-09-20T16:41:20","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T16:41:20","slug":"2021-homepage","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2021-homepage\/","title":{"rendered":"2021 Homepage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
\n
\n2021 Actual Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
ORG Rnk<\/th>\nTeam (Playoff Seed)<\/th>\nWins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n Chiefs (2)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 99<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n Bills (3)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 103<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n Packers (1)<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n Cardinals (5)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n Chargers<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n Patriots (6)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 93<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n Cowboys (3)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n Titans (1)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 90<\/font><\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n Buccaneers (2)<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 93<\/font><\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n 49ers (6)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n Rams (4)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n Bengals (4)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 87<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n Steelers (7)<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 81<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82<\/font><\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 84<\/td> 83<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n Raiders (5)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 89<\/font><\/td>\n 78<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n Eagles (7)<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n Vikings<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 81<\/font><\/td>\n 84<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n Dolphins<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 85<\/font><\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n Ravens<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 70<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 80<\/font><\/td>\n 73<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 78<\/font><\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 76<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 74<\/font><\/td>\n 70<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 71<\/font><\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n Texans<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 75<\/font><\/td>\n 58<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n2021 Win Total Futures Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Team<\/th>\nego<\/th>\nO\/U<\/th>\nLine<\/th>\nWins<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\nRROI<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Jaguars<\/td>\n 3.05<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 20.4<\/td>\n 104.00%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bills<\/td>\n 13.48<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 17.69<\/td>\n 90.45%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Broncos<\/td>\n 5.80<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 20.5<\/td>\n 95.30%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Packers<\/td>\n 12.78<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 20.2<\/td>\n 96.98%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
49ers<\/td>\n 8.32<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 21<\/td>\n 99.58%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Seahawks<\/td>\n 11.67<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 66.32%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Falcons<\/td>\n 5.34<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 19.52<\/td>\n 70.44%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Titans<\/td>\n 11.61<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 21<\/td>\n 75.39%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Raiders<\/td>\n 9.10<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 18.7<\/td>\n 62.46%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Eagles<\/td>\n 5.02<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 9<\/td> \n 0<\/td>\n 55.90%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Panthers<\/td>\n 5.57<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 18.70<\/td>\n 59.01%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chiefs<\/td>\n 13.89<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 53.65%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Saints<\/td>\n 7.65<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 17.14<\/td>\n 55.13%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Buccaneers<\/td>\n 13.22<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 20<\/td>\n 58.58%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
FB Team<\/td>\n 6.79<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 18.33<\/td>\n 60.34%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jets<\/td>\n 4.83<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 16.76<\/td>\n 60.83%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Steelers<\/td>\n 10.05<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td> 21<\/td>\n 65.26%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cowboys<\/td>\n 8.00<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 56.08%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bengals<\/td>\n 5.03<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 47.86%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Colts<\/td>\n 11.39<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 40.47%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chargers<\/td>\n 7.71<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 38.54%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Browns<\/td>\n 11.20<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 32.25%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Vikings<\/td>\n 7.90<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 18.77<\/td>\n 34.66%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Ravens<\/td>\n 10.49<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 16.25<\/td>\n 35.82%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Lions<\/td>\n 5.77<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 3<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 30.38%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Dolphins<\/td>\n 9.73<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 29.22%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Rams<\/td>\n 10.02<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 24.43%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Texans<\/td>\n 4.88<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 4.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 19.99%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cardinals<\/td>\n 8.21<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 15.85%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bears<\/td>\n 7.26<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 18.33<\/td>\n 18.10%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Patriots<\/td>\n 9.16<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 18<\/td>\n 20.09%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Giants<\/td>\n 7.07<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n 16.34%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n
\nComparisons\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Prediction<\/th>\nMedian Error<\/th>\nAVG Error<\/th>\nAll 32 ROI<\/th>\nType<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
CBS Sports (Breech)<\/td>\n 1.00<\/td>\n 1.47<\/td>\n 54.37%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Sports Illustrated<\/td>\n 1.00<\/td>\n 2.09<\/td>\n 20.92%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
ego<\/td>\n 1.32<\/td>\n 1.75<\/td>\n 16.34%<\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
William Hill<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.52<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Barstool<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.68<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
BetMGM<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.68<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>
BetUS<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.70<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
NFL (Frelund)<\/td>\n 1.60<\/td>\n 1.65<\/td>\n 12.91%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n\n <\/tr>\n
Oddsshark<\/td>\n 1.75<\/td>\n 1.70<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
538<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 1.53<\/td>\n 30.95%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
USA Today<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 1.91<\/td>\n 25.15%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n*Reminder that the primary goal of this project is not about generating the highest ROI or the lowest error in terms of the Win Total prediction. The goal is to accurately portray what should happen given the economic environment of the league and conditions of the organizations within, not what I think will actually happen.*\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\nFor Projections that did not come with lines\/odds for the predictions, the same lines\/odds options that were available for ego were used.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\nTop 10 Most Efficient Players\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Player<\/th>\nOrganization<\/th>\nPosition<\/th>\nAV\/CAP%<\/th>\nAV<\/th>\nCAP%<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Trey Smith<\/td>\n Chiefs<\/td>\n Guard<\/td>\n 27.03<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.37%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jalen Hurts<\/td>\n Eagles<\/td>\n Quarterback<\/td>\n 25.76<\/td>\n 17<\/td>\n 0.66%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Maxx Crosby<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n Defensive End<\/td>\n 23.64<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0.55%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Trevor Diggs<\/td>\n Cowboys<\/td>\n Cornerback<\/td>\n 22.06<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 0.68%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jakobi Meyers<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 21.95<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0.41%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
De’Vondre Campbell<\/td>\n Packers<\/td>\n Linebacker<\/td>\n 21.88<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 0.43%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Tae Crowder<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n Linebacker<\/td>\n 20.93<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0.43%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jeremy Chinn<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n Safety<\/td>\n 20.31<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0.64%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Darnell Mooney<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 20.00<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0.45%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
David Quessenberry<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n Offensive Lineman<\/td>\n 20.00<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0.45%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\nAV from ProFootballReference<\/a> \/ CAP% from Sportrac<\/a> \/ Min. AV of 3\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2021 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Playoff Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Chiefs (2) 12 94 88 99 2 Bills (3) 11 93 83 103 3 Packers (1) 13 90 92 89 4 Cardinals (5) 11 89 86 92 5 Chargers 9 88 83 94 6 Patriots (6) 10 88 84 93 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2021 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Playoff Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Chiefs (2) 12 94 88 99 2 Bills (3) 11 93 83 103 3 Packers (1) 13 90 92 89 4 Cardinals (5) 11 89 86 92 5 Chargers 9 88 83 94 6 Patriots (6) 10 88 84 93…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/32"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32"}],"version-history":[{"count":26,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/32\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6651,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/32\/revisions\/6651"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}