{"id":188,"date":"2023-12-09T17:19:54","date_gmt":"2023-12-09T17:19:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=188"},"modified":"2026-02-15T21:39:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T21:39:09","slug":"2022-actual","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2022-actual\/","title":{"rendered":"2022 Actual"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
\n
\n2015<\/a>\n2016<\/a>\n2017<\/a>\n2018<\/a>\n2019<\/a>\n2020 Predicted<\/a>\n2020 Actual<\/a>\n2021 Predicted<\/a>\n2021 Actual<\/a>\n2022 Predicted<\/a>\n2022 Actual<\/a> \n2023 Predicted<\/a>\n2023 Actual<\/a>\n2024 Predicted<\/a>\n2024 Actual<\/a>\n2025 Predicted<\/a>\n2025 Actual<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
ORG<\/th>\nDivision<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chiefs (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Bills (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Eagles (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Bengals (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Vikings (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n 49ers (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Cowboys (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chargers (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Ravens (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Steelers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Jaguars (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Buccaneers (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Giants (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Dolphins (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Packers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Rams<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Seahawks (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Texans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Wins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\nPower<\/th>\nTalent<\/th>\nBalance<\/th>\nNotes (All Rankings Are Points-Based [For and Against] \/ Expected Wins Are From Pro Football Reference)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
14 (1)<\/td>\n 97<\/td>\n 92 (3)<\/td>\n 103 (1)<\/td>\n 91 (4)<\/td>\n 118 (2)<\/td>\n 111 (2)<\/td>\n Won SB(2nd in 4 Yrs)\/#1 in OFF(Points,Yards)\/#16 in DEF\/2.6 Wins Above Expected\/7th Straight AFCW Title\/OC to WSH<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (3)<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n 92 (4)<\/td>\n 96 (2)<\/td>\n 87 (9)<\/td>\n 102 (5)<\/td>\n 108 (3)<\/td>\n HC Nominated for Coach of the Year\/#2 in OFF\/#2 in DEF\/Week 17 Cancelled\/Could Be Last Peak of Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14 (1)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 93 (2)<\/td>\n 93 (4)<\/font><\/td>\n 69 (29)<\/td>\n 120 (1)<\/td>\n 114 (1)<\/td>\n Lost SB\/HC Nominated For COTY\/7-1 in 1-Poss Games\/2.4 Wins Above Expected\/OC to IND HC\/DC to ARI HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (6)<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 90 (6)<\/td>\n 94 (3)<\/td>\n 92 (3)<\/td>\n 106 (3)<\/td>\n 87 (12)<\/td>\n Lost to KC in AFCCG\/Started 2-3,Finished 10-1\/Week 17 Cancelled\/1st Peak of Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>
13 (3)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 95 (1)<\/td>\n 85 (10)<\/td>\n 86 (15)<\/td>\n 89 (10)<\/td>\n 79 (21)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC,GM\/#8 in OFF\/#28 in DEF\/11-0 in 1 Poss. Wins (Record)\/4.6 Wins Above Expected\/Lost to NYG in WC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (3)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 91 (5)<\/td>\n 88 (6)<\/td>\n 86 (16)<\/td>\n 93 (7)<\/td>\n 89 (10)<\/td>\n Lost NFCCG\/HC Nominated for COTY\/Started 3 QBs (Injuries)\/#1 in DEF\/10 Wins in ’21(Lost to LAR in NFCCG)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
12 (6)<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 90 (7)<\/td>\n 89 (5)<\/td>\n 83 (19)<\/td>\n 103 (4)<\/td>\n 89 (10)<\/td>\n Fired OC\/#4 in OFF\/#5 in DEF\/2nd Straight 12-Win Season\/2nd Peak of Champ Window,Should Start to Close<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 87 (7)<\/td>\n 93 (1)<\/td>\n 81 (15)<\/td>\n 79 (20)<\/td>\n Detrimental Injuries Across Roster\/Lost to JAX in WC (Leading 27-0 at Halftime)\/1st Peak of Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 86 (10)<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 87 (10)<\/td>\n 77 (17)<\/td>\n 95 (5)<\/td>\n OC “Parted Ways”\/#19 in OFF\/#3 in DEF\/QB Injured for Final 5 Games\/Started 3-3,Then 4-0,Finished 3-4<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n 85 (9)<\/td>\n 82 (20)<\/td>\n 84 (12)<\/td>\n 93 (6)<\/td>\n #5 in OFF\/#28 in DEF\/Started 1-6,Finished 8-2\/2nd Season For HC (3-13-1 in 2021)\/Opened Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (16)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 82 (18)<\/td>\n 84 (11)<\/td>\n 90 (5)<\/td>\n 72 (23)<\/td>\n 83 (15)<\/td>\n Both Co-OCs Demoted\/2nd Missed Playoffs in 14 Seasons (20)\/Started 1-3,Then 5-1,Finished 2-5<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 85 (11)<\/td>\n 80 (17)<\/td>\n 81 (21)<\/td>\n 77 (19)<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n Started 3-7,Finished 6-1\/#26 in OFF\/#10 in DEF\/At or Above 0.500 for 19 Straight Seasons(16 for HC)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 82 (14)<\/td>\n 84 (18)<\/td>\n 83 (13)<\/td>\n 78 (22)<\/td>\n HC Nominated for COTY\/First Season for HC,GM\/Started 3-7,Finished 6-1\/Lost to KC in AFCCG<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (16)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 83 (15)<\/td>\n 81 (15)<\/td>\n 86 (14)<\/td>\n 79 (16)<\/td>\n 72 (24)<\/td>\n OC Fired\/Vet QB Retired\/Lost to DAL in WC\/Champ Window Almost Certainly Closed<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 86 (9)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (21)<\/td>\n 73 (25)<\/td>\n 82 (14)<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n HC Won COTY\/First Season for HC,GM\/First “Rookie” HC COTY Since 2018(CHI)\/Started 7-2<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 80 (20)<\/td>\n 83 (12)<\/font><\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 66 (29)<\/td>\n 92 (8)<\/td>\n Won AFC and HC Won COTY Last Season\/Fired GM\/Fired OC\/Started 7-3,Finished 0-7\/#14 in DEF\/#28 in OFF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 84 (12)<\/td>\n 78 (23)<\/td>\n 89 (6)<\/td>\n 67 (28)<\/td>\n 65 (28)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/”Parted Ways With” DC,DEF Coaches\/#11 in OFF\/#24 in DEF\/Started 3 QBs (Injuries)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 79 (21)<\/td>\n 83 (13)<\/td>\n 92 (2)<\/td>\n 70 (24)<\/td>\n 76 (23)<\/td>\n “Parted Ways With” OC,Other OFF Coaches\/Started 5-2,Finished 2-8\/#29 in OFF\/#4 in DEF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (16)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 82 (19)<\/td>\n 80 (19)<\/td>\n 84 (17)<\/td>\n 89 (9)<\/td>\n 61 (29)<\/td>\n 13 Wins in Each of the Previous 3 Seasons\/Started 3-1,Then 1-7,Finished 4-1\/Longtime QB Leaving<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (16)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 83 (14)<\/td>\n 77 (24)<\/td>\n 86 (12)<\/td>\n 69 (25)<\/td>\n 66 (27)<\/td>\n Fired OC\/1-4-1 in NFCE\/#24 in OFF\/#7 in DEF\/Started 1-4,Then 6-1,Finished 1-3-1\/QB Issues<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 79 (23)<\/td>\n 81 (16)<\/td>\n 79 (23)<\/td>\n 68 (26)<\/td>\n 97 (4)<\/td>\n 1st Season with New HC\/Fired DC,Several Longtime Assistant Coaches\/1.1 Wins Below Expected<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 78 (25)<\/td>\n 80 (18)<\/td>\n 69 (28)<\/td>\n 100 (6)<\/td>\n 81 (18)<\/td>\n Fired DC,Several DEF Coaches\/High Paid QB Suspended for 1st 12 Games(3-3 with him)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (27)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 75 (27)<\/td>\n 79 (20)<\/td>\n 87 (11)<\/td>\n 73 (21)<\/td>\n 72 (25)<\/td>\n OC to NCAA(Kentucky)\/\/Detrimental Injuries\/Champ Window Slammed Shut(Won 2021 SB)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 79 (22)<\/font><\/td>\n 75 (26)<\/td>\n 71 (27)<\/td>\n 77 (18)<\/td>\n 81 (19)<\/td>\n Fired HC Was 1-4\/Traded Star RB After 1-5\/Replacement HC Went 6-6 (Not Hired)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (27)<\/td>\n 76<\/td>\n 73 (29)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (22)<\/td>\n 80 (22)<\/td>\n 64 (30)<\/td>\n 89 (11)<\/td>\n Fired HC Was 4-11\/#32 in OFF\/Traded Away 3 Players,2 1st Rnd,2 2nd Rnd Picks For New QB Before Season<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (26)<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 75 (26)<\/td>\n 75 (25)<\/td>\n 72 (26)<\/td>\n 88 (11)<\/td>\n 69 (26)<\/td>\n Started 2-7, 0-6 in 1-Poss. Games\/4-9 in 1-Poss. Games\/1.9 Wins Below Expected\/#12 in OFF\/#26 in DEF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (10)<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 83 (13)<\/td>\n 67 (32)<\/td>\n 73 (24)<\/td>\n 74 (20)<\/td>\n 48 (32)<\/td>\n Preseason Win Total Line was 5.5\/Traded Away Franchise QB to DEN Before Season\/#9 in OFF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (20)<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 78 (24)<\/td>\n 71 (29)<\/td>\n 56 (31)<\/td>\n 90 (8)<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 2nd Season with New GM(7 Wins in Both)\/Started 4-4,Then 1-6,Finished 2-0\/Champ Window Limbo<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n 73 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 73 (27)<\/td>\n 89 (7)<\/td>\n 63 (31)<\/td>\n 52 (31)<\/td>\n Fired HC Was 3-5-1,Interim HC Went 1-7\/Blew 33 Point Halftime Lead in Week 15 (@ MIN)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 71 (30)<\/font><\/td>\n 72 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n 59 (32)<\/td>\n 59 (30)<\/td>\n Signed Long Term Contracts with HC,GM,QB Before Season\/Fired HC After Season,GM “Stepped Down”<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (31)<\/td>\n 68<\/td>\n 66 (31)<\/font><\/td>\n 69 (30)<\/td>\n 63 (30)<\/td>\n 67 (27)<\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/td>\n Fired HC After 1 Season,2nd Season in a Row\/Lost 1st Overall Pick of 2023 Draft by Winning Week 18<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (31)<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 65 (32)<\/td>\n 68 (31)<\/td>\n 53 (32)<\/td>\n 73 (22)<\/td>\n 92 (7)<\/td>\n QB was #6 in Rushing Yards per Game\/2.2 Wins Below Expected\/1st Overall Pick of 2023 Draft(Traded Away)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCW Chiefs (1) 2 AFCE Bills (2) 3 NFCE Eagles (1) 4 AFCW Bengals (3) 5 NFCN Vikings (5) 6 NFCW […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCW Chiefs (1) 2 AFCE Bills (2) 3 NFCE Eagles (1) 4 AFCW Bengals (3) 5 NFCN Vikings (5) 6 NFCW…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/188"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/188\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7161,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/188\/revisions\/7161"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}