{"id":180,"date":"2023-12-09T17:03:30","date_gmt":"2023-12-09T17:03:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=180"},"modified":"2026-02-15T21:39:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T21:39:31","slug":"2021-actual","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2021-actual\/","title":{"rendered":"2021 Actual"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\n2015<\/a>\n2016<\/a>\n2017<\/a>\n2018<\/a>\n2019<\/a>\n2020 Predicted<\/a>\n2020 Actual<\/a>\n2021 Predicted<\/a>\n2021 Actual<\/a>\n2022 Predicted<\/a>\n2022 Actual<\/a> \n2023 Predicted<\/a>\n2023 Actual<\/a>\n2024 Predicted<\/a>\n2024 Actual<\/a>\n2025 Predicted<\/a>\n2025 Actual<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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ORG<\/th>\nDivision<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Bills (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chiefs (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Packers (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Cardinals (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chargers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Patriots (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Cowboys (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Titans (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Buccaneers (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n 49ers (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Rams (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Bengals (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Steelers (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Raiders (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Eagles (7)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Vikings<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Dolphins<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Ravens<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Texans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Wins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\nPower<\/th>\nTalent<\/th>\nBalance<\/th>\nNotes (All Rankings Are Points-Based [For and Against] \/ Expected Wins Are From Pro Football Reference)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
11 (7)<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n 105 (1)<\/td>\n 94 (2)<\/td>\n 122 (2)<\/td>\n 109 (5)<\/td>\n Back-to-Back Division Champs\/#1 in Point Differential\/Lost to KAN in 2nd Straight Postseason\/OC to NYG HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 94<\/td>\n 88 (7)<\/td>\n 99 (2)<\/td>\n 89 (8)<\/td>\n 121 (3)<\/td>\n 99 (7)<\/td>\n Lost to CIN in AFCCG\/#8 in DEF\/#27 in DEF Yards\/Started 3-4,Finished 9-1\/7th Straight Playoff App<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (1)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 92 (2)<\/td>\n 89 (6)<\/td>\n 91 (5)<\/td>\n 88 (12)<\/td>\n 85 (12)<\/td>\n 3rd Season Straight with 13 Wins\/OC to DEN HC\/Massive Balance Decrease From 2020 (114)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (7)<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 86 (9)<\/td>\n 92 (5)<\/td>\n 91 (6)<\/td>\n 95 (9)<\/td>\n 90 (9)<\/td>\n Started 7-0\/Then 3-2\/Finished 1-4\/Lost NFCW to LAR by 1 Game\/Lost to LAR in WC\/Champ Window 1st Peak<\/td>\n <\/tr>
9 (13)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 83 (15)<\/td>\n 94 (3)<\/td>\n 91 (4)<\/td>\n 107 (4)<\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/td>\n 5th Highest ORG For Team to Miss Playoffs (Since 2015)\/#5 in OFF\/#29 in DEF\/First Season for HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (9)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/td>\n 93 (4)<\/font><\/td>\n 81 (20)<\/td>\n 92 (10)<\/td>\n 118 (2)<\/td>\n PFWA Exec of the Year\/OC to LVR HC\/#6 in OFF with Rookie QB\/Not AFCE Champs in Consec. Yrs(Not Since ’00)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
12 (3)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 89 (4)<\/td>\n 87 (10)<\/td>\n 85 (17)<\/td>\n 100 (6)<\/td>\n 76 (21)<\/td>\n #1 in OFF\/#1 DEF in Turnovers\/Started 6-1,Then 1-3,Finished 5-1\/Lost to SF in Wild Card Round<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 90 (3)<\/font><\/td>\n 84 (15)<\/td>\n 80 (23)<\/td>\n 95 (8)<\/td>\n 81 (20)<\/td>\n Won COTY\/Beat BUF,KC in Consecutive Weeks\/Beat LAR in LA\/Beat SF\/4 INTs in Divisional Round Loss to CIN<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (1)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 93 (1)<\/font><\/td>\n 80 (20)<\/td>\n 92 (3)<\/td>\n 105 (5)<\/td>\n 32 (32)<\/td>\n #2 in OFF\/#5 in DEF\/Lost to LAR in Divisional Round\/HC Retired\/Signs of Champ Window Closing\/DC Promoted to HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (9)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 85 (10)<\/td>\n 87 (7)<\/td>\n 87 (11)<\/td>\n 89 (11)<\/td>\n 85 (13)<\/td>\n OC to MIA HC\/Started 3-5\/Overcame Week18(@LAR) 14-Pt 2nd-Half Deficit to Make Playoffs\/Lost to LAR in NFCCHG<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 89 (5)<\/td>\n 83 (18)<\/td>\n 72 (28)<\/td>\n 124 (1)<\/td>\n 63 (26)<\/td>\n Won SB\/OC to MIN HC\/#7 in OFF\/#15 in DEF\/Started 7-1,Then 0-3,Finished 5-1\/Aggressive Use of Draft Capital Paid Off<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (9)<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 85 (12)<\/td>\n 87 (9)<\/font><\/td>\n 88 (9)<\/td>\n 86 (15)<\/td>\n 84 (15)<\/td>\n Won Sporting News Exec of the Year\/Lost SB\/Started 7-6,Finished 3-1\/4 Wins in 2020<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82 (19)<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 94 (1)<\/td>\n 95 (7)<\/td>\n 65 (25)<\/td>\n DC to CHI HC\/Missed Playoffs by Losing to 2-14 Jaguars in Week 18\/#9 in OFF,DEF\/2-5 in 1 Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 87 (8)<\/td>\n 81 (19)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (24)<\/td>\n 88 (13)<\/td>\n 82 (18)<\/td>\n #21 in OFF\/#20 in DEF\/2.0 Wins Above Expected\/8-2 in 1 Poss. Games\/GM,QB Retired<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82 (18)<\/font><\/td>\n 85 (12)<\/td>\n 73 (27)<\/td>\n 77 (20)<\/td>\n 116 (3)<\/td>\n HC Stepped Down\/DC Promoted to HC\/Missed Playoffs (1st Time Since ’16)\/No Long-Term QB (Retired,15 Seasons)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 81 (22)<\/td>\n 86 (11)<\/td>\n 86 (15)<\/td>\n 62 (28)<\/td>\n 111 (4)<\/td>\n New GM\/Started 2-6,Then 4-0,Finished 1-4\/Made Playoffs in 2020(7 Wins)\/Should’ve Been Champ Window 1st Peak<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 84 (13)<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 83 (18)<\/td>\n 78 (18)<\/td>\n 87 (11)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/#26 in OFF\/#29 in DEF\/7-2 in 1-Poss. Games\/2.1 Wins Above Expected\/4 Wins in 2019<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (9)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 89 (6)<\/font><\/td>\n 78 (23)<\/font><\/td>\n 80 (22)<\/td>\n 71 (22)<\/td>\n 82 (19)<\/td>\n Fired HC After Week 5(Off-Field Issue)\/Started 5-2,Then 1-5,Finished 4-0\/3.1 Wins Above Expected\/7-2 in 1-Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (19)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 82 (21)<\/td>\n 85 (13)<\/td>\n 82 (19)<\/td>\n 74 (21)<\/td>\n 101 (6)<\/td>\n Traded Former 1st Round QB After Season For 5th Rnd\/Traded 3 1st Rnd,1 3rd Rnd,1 4th Rnd for New ’22 QB<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 82 (20)<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n 60 (32)<\/td>\n 87 (14)<\/td>\n 126 (1)<\/td>\n 1st Season with “Rookie” HC\/Started 3-6,Finished 6-2\/Large Step Forward for Young QB (Rookie Deal)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (19)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 81 (23)<\/font><\/td>\n 84 (14)<\/font><\/td>\n 87 (12)<\/td>\n 80 (17)<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n Fired HC,GM\/1st 2-Season Stretch Without Playoff Appearance(2013-14)\/#4 in 3rd Down %<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (13)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 85 (11)<\/font><\/td>\n 79 (22)<\/td>\n 86 (13)<\/td>\n 68 (24)<\/td>\n 76 (22)<\/td>\n Fired HC (Very Controversial)\/GM Will Have 3rd HC in 7 Years\/GM’s Best Year Was 1st (2016: 84)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 78 (25)<\/td>\n 79 (21)<\/td>\n 86 (14)<\/td>\n 85 (16)<\/td>\n 62 (27)<\/td>\n Fired DC\/Last Season With Team For Long-Term QB (10 Seasons,9 Playoffs Apps)\/Fewest Wins Since 2011<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8 (19)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 70 (28)<\/td>\n 89 (7)<\/td>\n 64 (27)<\/td>\n 41 (30)<\/td>\n DC and Team “Split Ways”\/Significant Injuries Throughout Roster\/#6 in OFF Yards\/#25 in DEF Yards<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (26)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 80 (24)<\/font><\/td>\n 73 (24)<\/font><\/td>\n 85 (16)<\/td>\n 58 (29)<\/td>\n 65 (24)<\/td>\n Cleaned House\/Fired GM,HC(2018 Coach of the Year)\/Started 3-2,Finished 3-9<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (22)<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 78 (26)<\/font><\/td>\n 70 (29)<\/td>\n 75 (25)<\/td>\n 77 (19)<\/td>\n 54 (28)<\/td>\n “Rookie” GM\/#23 in OFF\/#3 in DEF\/1.9 Wins Below Expected\/Blockbuster Trade for New QB in 2022<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (28)<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 76 (27)<\/td>\n 73 (26)<\/td>\n 80 (21)<\/td>\n 46 (32)<\/td>\n 84 (16)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/#32 in DEF (Points Allowed and Yards Allowed)\/2 Wins in 2020<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (27)<\/td>\n 73<\/td>\n 74 (29)<\/td>\n 73 (25)<\/td>\n 68 (30)<\/td>\n 68 (23)<\/td>\n 87 (10)<\/td>\n “Rookie” GM\/Fired OC After Week 12\/Started 3-0,Finished 2-12\/2-6 in 1-Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (28)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 74 (30)<\/font><\/td>\n 70 (30)<\/font><\/td>\n 88 (10)<\/td>\n 65 (25)<\/td>\n 38 (31)<\/td>\n Fired OC Midseason\/Fired HC After Season\/GM Retired\/Started 4-7,Finished 0-6<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (31)<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 71 (31)<\/font><\/td>\n 69 (31)<\/td>\n 75 (26)<\/td>\n 57 (30)<\/td>\n 71 (23)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC Fired After 13 Games (2-11)\/#32 in OFF\/Rough Rookie Season for QB (12 TDs,17 Ints)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (31)<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 69 (32)<\/td>\n 71 (27)<\/td>\n 65 (31)<\/td>\n 64 (26)<\/td>\n 91 (8)<\/td>\n 1st Season With New GM,HC\/”Parted Ways With” OC\/Low Power,Low Talent,High Balance=Better in 2022<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (28)<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 75 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 58 (32)<\/td>\n 71 (29)<\/td>\n 46 (31)<\/td>\n 42 (29)<\/td>\n Fired New HC After 1 Season\/”Rookie” GM\/Finished 2-2 in Final 4 Games\/0-4 in 1-Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCE Bills (3) 2 AFCW Chiefs (2) 3 NFCN Packers (1) 4 NFCW Cardinals (5) 5 AFCW Chargers 6 AFCE Patriots […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 AFCE Bills (3) 2 AFCW Chiefs (2) 3 NFCN Packers (1) 4 NFCW Cardinals (5) 5 AFCW Chargers 6 AFCE Patriots…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/180"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=180"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/180\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7163,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/180\/revisions\/7163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}