{"id":161,"date":"2023-12-09T15:47:30","date_gmt":"2023-12-09T15:47:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=161"},"modified":"2026-02-15T21:40:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T21:40:24","slug":"2018-2","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2018-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2018"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\n2015<\/a>\n2016<\/a>\n2017<\/a>\n2018<\/a>\n2019<\/a>\n2020 Predicted<\/a>\n2020 Actual<\/a>\n2021 Predicted<\/a>\n2021 Actual<\/a>\n2022 Predicted<\/a>\n2022 Actual<\/a> \n2023 Predicted<\/a>\n2023 Actual<\/a>\n2024 Predicted<\/a>\n2024 Actual<\/a>\n2025 Predicted<\/a>\n2025 Actual<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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ORG<\/th>\nDivision<\/th>\nTeam (Seed)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Saints (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chargers (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Bears (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Chiefs (1)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Texans (3)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Seahawks (5)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Vikings<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Rams (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Colts (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Cowboys (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Eagles (6)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Steelers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Patriots (2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Ravens (4)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Packers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Dolphins<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Browns<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n Buccaneers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n NFCS<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n AFCS<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n NFCN<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n NFCE<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n AFCN<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n AFCW<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Bills<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n AFCE<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n 49ers<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n NFCW<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Wins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\nPower<\/th>\nTalent<\/th>\nBalance<\/th>\nNotes (All Rankings Are Points-Based [For and Against] \/ Expected Wins Are From Pro Football Reference)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
13 (1)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 92 (2)<\/td>\n 94 (4)<\/td>\n 86 (15)<\/td>\n 102 (5)<\/td>\n 103 (8)<\/td>\n Lost to LAR in NFC Champ Game\/Started 10-1\/#14 in DEF\/#24 in DEF 3rd Down %\/1st Peak of Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 91 (3)<\/td>\n 94 (6)<\/td>\n 90 (7)<\/td>\n 89 (12)<\/td>\n 107 (5)<\/td>\n #6 in OFF,#8 in DEF\/Started 1-2,Finished 11-2\/6-1 in 1 Poss. Games\/Typical 1st Peak Season of Champ Window<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 90 (4)<\/font><\/td>\n 95 (2)<\/td>\n 89 (9)<\/td>\n 103 (4)<\/td>\n 101 (12)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC,OC\/Coach of the Year(AP,PFWA)\/5 Wins in 2017\/#1 in DEF,#9 in OFF\/Started 3-3,Finished 8-1<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12 (3)<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n 89 (5)<\/td>\n 94 (5)<\/td>\n 86 (16)<\/td>\n 103 (3)<\/td>\n 103 (10)<\/td>\n #1 in OFF,#24 in DEF\/Lost to NE in AFC Champ Game\/Started 9-1,Finished 3-3\/New QB(2nd Season,MVP)<\/td>\n <\/tr>
11 (6)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 88 (8)<\/td>\n 92 (7)<\/td>\n 84 (20)<\/td>\n 90 (11)<\/td>\n 113 (2)<\/td>\n Started 0-3 (All 1 Poss. Losses),Won 9 Straight,Finished 2-2\/Lost to IND in WC\/#29 in DEF Red Zone %(#27 in OFF)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 85 (12)<\/td>\n 95 (3)<\/td>\n 86 (17)<\/td>\n 98 (8)<\/td>\n 109 (3)<\/td>\n Lost to DAL in WC\/Fewest Turnovers\/#32 in OFF Passing Attempts\/#1 in OFF Rush Yards\/#2 in OFF Rush Attempts<\/td>\n <\/tr>
8 (15)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 83 (17)<\/td>\n 97 (1)<\/td>\n 96 (1)<\/td>\n 98 (9)<\/td>\n 97 (14)<\/td>\n Fired OC After Week 14\/#19 in OFF\/#9 in DEF\/ #26 in OFF 3rd Down % (#1 in DEF)\/Would Have Been 7 Seed<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13 (1)<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 93 (1)<\/td>\n 86 (18)<\/td>\n 90 (8)<\/td>\n 108 (2)<\/td>\n 55 (30)<\/td>\n Lost SB\/Started Season 8-0\/#2 in OFF\/#20 in DEF\/6-1 in 1 Poss. Games\/2.1 Wins Above Expected<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 85 (13)<\/td>\n 91 (8)<\/td>\n 68 (30)<\/td>\n 109 (1)<\/td>\n 122 (1)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/4 Wins in 2017 (QB Injury)\/Started 1-5,Finished 9-1\/#1 in OFF 3rd Down %\/#2 in OFF Pass Attempts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 89 (6)<\/td>\n 86 (17)<\/td>\n 76 (26)<\/td>\n 88 (14)<\/td>\n 104 (7)<\/td>\n Fired OC\/#22 in OFF,#6 in DEF\/Started 3-5,Finished 7-1\/9-3 in 1 Poss. Games\/Lost to LAR in Divisional Round<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (12)<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 85 (15)<\/td>\n 90 (9)<\/td>\n 88 (12)<\/td>\n 83 (16)<\/td>\n 103 (9)<\/td>\n Won 13 Games,SB in 2017\/Lost to NO in Divisional Round\/QB Injured Week 14\/Started 4-6,Finished 5-1\/#1 Red Zone DEF<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (12)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 85 (14)<\/td>\n 90 (10)<\/td>\n 85 (19)<\/td>\n 101 (7)<\/td>\n 90 (17)<\/td>\n New OC\/#6 in OFF(#8 in 2017)\/#1 in OFF Pass Attempts(#6 in 2017)\/Started 1-2-1,Then 6 Wins Straight,Finished 2-4<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11 (6)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 89 (7)<\/td>\n 85 (19)<\/td>\n 92 (5)<\/td>\n 94 (10)<\/td>\n 64 (28)<\/td>\n Won SB\/#4 in OFF\/#7 in DEF\/10th Straight Playoff App\/16th Straight Season with 10+ Wins<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10 (8)<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 86 (11)<\/td>\n 88 (13)<\/td>\n 86 (14)<\/td>\n 101 (6)<\/td>\n 79 (25)<\/td>\n Lost to LAC in WC\/#2 in DEF\/Started 3-1,Then 1-4,Finished 6-1\/#1 in OFF Rush Attempts(#2 in Yards)\/#22 in OFF Pass Attempts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (16)<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 81 (19)<\/td>\n 89 (12)<\/td>\n 92 (4)<\/td>\n 81 (18)<\/td>\n 90 (16)<\/td>\n Fired OC,DC,STC\/#10 in OFF\/#25 in DEF\/Started 1-4,Then 3-0,Then 0-5,Finished 3-0\/#4 in OFF 3rd Down %(#31 in DEF)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (21)<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 77 (25)<\/font><\/td>\n 90 (11)<\/td>\n 89 (10)<\/td>\n 78 (20)<\/td>\n 104 (6)<\/td>\n “Rookie” GM\/HC Fired After Week 13\/Will Keep DC for 2019\/2-5 in 1 Poss. Games Before Firing HC<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (16)<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 79 (22)<\/td>\n 88 (14)<\/td>\n 95 (2)<\/td>\n 80 (19)<\/td>\n 82 (23)<\/td>\n 11 Wins in 2017\/Champ Window Closing(High Power,Low EFF)\/Started 6-2,Then 0-7\/3-7 in 1 Poss. Games (Lost 5 Straight)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (16)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 86 (10)<\/font><\/td>\n 79 (24)<\/td>\n 85 (18)<\/td>\n 59 (29)<\/td>\n 87 (20)<\/td>\n QB Injured for 5 Games\/#26 in OFF\/#27 in DEF\/Started 4-2,Finished 3-7\/7-1 in 1 Poss. Games\/1.8 Wins Above Expected<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (21)<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 77 (26)<\/font><\/td>\n 87 (15)<\/td>\n 83 (22)<\/td>\n 81 (17)<\/td>\n 102 (11)<\/td>\n Fired HC\/Started 3-6,Then 3-0,Finished 0-4\/1.4 Wins Below Expected\/Added Vet QB After Season\/Post-2015 SB Down-cycling<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (16)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 81 (18)<\/font><\/td>\n 81 (22)<\/td>\n 66 (31)<\/td>\n 84 (15)<\/td>\n 108 (4)<\/td>\n Fired HC,OC After Week 8\/Went 5-3 With Replacement HC(Not Promoted to 2019 HC),Replacement OC(Promoted to 2019 HC)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (26)<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 75 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 87 (16)<\/td>\n 93 (3)<\/td>\n 71 (23)<\/td>\n 90 (18)<\/td>\n Fired HC\/Fired DC Midseason\/#12 in OFF\/#31 in DEF\/Started 2-0,Finished 3-11\/#3 in OFF 3rd Down %\/1.5 Wins Below Expected<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
7 (16)<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 84 (16)<\/td>\n 76 (25)<\/td>\n 89 (11)<\/td>\n 62 (26)<\/td>\n 65 (27)<\/td>\n Fired OC\/#29 in OFF\/#15 in OFF\/1.3 Wins Above Expected\/Started 6-3,Finished 1-6\/High Power,Low EFF Means Regression Likely<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9 (12)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 87 (9)<\/td>\n 72 (29)<\/td>\n 82 (23)<\/td>\n 77 (22)<\/td>\n 48 (32)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/3rd Season of GM\/OC to GB HC\/#27 in OFF\/#3 in DEF\/Started 5-6,Finished 4-1\/#31 in OFF Pass Attempts<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (26)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 75 (27)<\/td>\n 83 (21)<\/td>\n 87 (13)<\/td>\n 67 (25)<\/td>\n 91 (15)<\/td>\n Fired OC Midseason\/#31 in OFF\/#4 in DEF\/10 Wins,Lost in 2017 AFC Champ Game\/Started 3-1,Finished 2-10\/2-6 in 1 Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (21)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 78 (24)<\/td>\n 80 (23)<\/td>\n 83 (21)<\/td>\n 70 (24)<\/td>\n 84 (21)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC (Controversial Firing of Previous HC)\/Didn’t Renew OC Contract\/3rd Season for GM(9 Wins in Last 2)<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
5 (26)<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 74 (29)<\/td>\n 83 (20)<\/td>\n 72 (29)<\/td>\n 89 (13)<\/td>\n 100 (13)<\/td>\n “Rookie” HC\/New GM\/2.0 Wins Below Expected\/#16 in OFF\/#23 in DEF\/Started 1-7,Then 4-1,Finished 0-3\/4-8 in 1 Poss. Games<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (21)<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 80 (21)<\/font><\/td>\n 74 (27)<\/td>\n 91 (6)<\/td>\n 61 (28)<\/td>\n 53 (31)<\/td>\n HC Retired\/Started 4-1,Finished 2-9\/3rd Season Straight with 6 or 7 Wins\/High Power,Low EFF Means Regression Likely<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 76<\/td>\n 79 (23)<\/td>\n 73 (28)<\/font><\/td>\n 81 (24)<\/td>\n 58 (30)<\/td>\n 73 (26)<\/td>\n 1st Season with New HC\/GM Fired (Won GM of the Year in 2016 (12 Wins))\/Classic Tank Season for New GM<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6 (21)<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n 80 (20)<\/td>\n 69 (31)<\/td>\n 58 (32)<\/td>\n 78 (21)<\/td>\n 83 (22)<\/td>\n 2nd Season with GM(Only 1 Draft)\/New OC\/Won 9 Games in 2017\/#31 in OFF Pass Yards\/#1 in DEF Pass Yards<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 72 (32)<\/font><\/td>\n 76 (26)<\/td>\n 78 (25)<\/td>\n 61 (27)<\/td>\n 87 (19)<\/td>\n Fired HC\/New OC\/1.4 Wins Below Expected\/Started 3-3,Finished 1-9\/Drafted QB with 3rd Pick of 2018 Draft<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4 (29)<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 72 (31)<\/td>\n 71 (30)<\/td>\n 74 (28)<\/td>\n 55 (32)<\/td>\n 81 (24)<\/td>\n QB Injured (Week 3)\/Timing-Wise Would’ve Been Champ Window Opening\/Expect Significant Improvement in 2019<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3 (32)<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n 73 (30)<\/font><\/td>\n 66 (32)<\/td>\n 74 (27)<\/td>\n 56 (31)<\/td>\n 60 (29)<\/td>\n Fired HC After 1 Season\/OC Fired Midseason\/Drafted QB with 10th Pick of 2018 Draft\/Drafted QB with 1st Pick of 2019 Draft<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 NFCS Saints (1) 2 AFCW Chargers (5) 3 NFCN Bears (3) 4 AFCW Chiefs (1) 5 AFCS Texans (3) 6 NFCW […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Predicted 2020 Actual 2021 Predicted 2021 Actual 2022 Predicted 2022 Actual 2023 Predicted 2023 Actual 2024 Predicted 2024 Actual 2025 Predicted 2025 Actual ORG Division Team (Seed) 1 NFCS Saints (1) 2 AFCW Chargers (5) 3 NFCN Bears (3) 4 AFCW Chiefs (1) 5 AFCS Texans (3) 6 NFCW…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7168,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/161\/revisions\/7168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}