{"id":16,"date":"2023-12-06T05:00:27","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T05:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/?page_id=16"},"modified":"2025-09-20T16:40:47","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T16:40:47","slug":"2023-homepage","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/2023-homepage\/","title":{"rendered":"2023 Homepage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n
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\n2023 Actual Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
ORG Rnk<\/th>\nTeam (Playoff Seed)<\/th>\nWins<\/th>\nORG<\/th>\nCoach<\/th>\nGM<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1<\/td>\n Cowboys (2)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 93<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 100<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\n Ravens (1)<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 92<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n Bills (2)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n Lions (3)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 88<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>
5<\/td>\n Chiefs (3)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\n Bengals<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 91<\/td>\n <\/tr>
7<\/td>\n 49ers (1)<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 88<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\n Dolphins (6)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\n Steelers (7)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n 89<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\n Rams (6)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n Saints<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 87<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\n Broncos<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\n Buccaneers (4)<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 85<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\n Jaguars<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 84<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\n Browns (5)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 89<\/font><\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\n Eagles (5)<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 90<\/td>\n 75<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\n Texans (4)<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n 87<\/td> 76<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\n Packers (7)<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 83<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\n Seahawks<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 76<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n Bears<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 80<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 82<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\n Vikings<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\n Falcons<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 79<\/td>\n 80<\/font><\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\n Jets<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 76<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\n Colts<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 78<\/td>\n 86<\/td>\n 70<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\n Titans<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 77<\/font><\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n Raiders<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 77<\/td>\n 82<\/font><\/td>\n 71<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n Chargers<\/td>\n 5<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 72<\/font><\/td>\n 76<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\n Patriots<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 74<\/td>\n 71<\/font><\/td>\n 77<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 72<\/td>\n 81<\/td>\n 63<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\n Cardinals<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n 71<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
31<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 69<\/td>\n 75<\/font><\/td>\n 63<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
32<\/td>\n Panthers<\/td>\n 2<\/td>\n 66<\/td>\n 63<\/font><\/td>\n 69<\/font><\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n

_ of the Year<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Retired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n

Fired Midseason<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Fired<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\n
\n2023 Win Total Futures Through Week 18<\/a>\n<\/div>\n
\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Team<\/th>\nego<\/th>\nO\/U<\/th>\nLine<\/th>\nPace<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\nRROI<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
FB Team<\/td>\n 8.96<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -100.00%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Buccaneers<\/td>\n 4.89<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -100.00%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Steelers<\/td>\n 9.93<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 16.67<\/td>\n -44.43%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Vikings<\/td>\n 7.22<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 20.4<\/td>\n -7.33%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Colts<\/td>\n 5.28<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -25.86<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Ravens<\/td>\n 10.70<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 15.99<\/td>\n -12.23%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
49ers<\/td>\n 11.67<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 16.99<\/td>\n -0.50%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cardinals<\/td>\n 3.34<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 4.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 17.04<\/td>\n 8.36%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Browns<\/td>\n 8.38<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -8.36%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bengals<\/td>\n 11.57<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -13.31%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Rams<\/td>\n 5.47<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -21.29%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bears<\/td>\n 6.54<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 21<\/td>\n -10.26%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Seahawks<\/td>\n 9.44<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 17.04<\/td>\n -4.05%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Patriots<\/td>\n 7.41<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -10.91%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Panthers<\/td>\n 6.64<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 2<\/td>\n 18.33<\/td>\n -4.63%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Texans<\/td>\n 5.67<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -10.59%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chargers<\/td>\n 10.32<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 5<\/td> \n 0<\/td>\n -15.85%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Lions<\/td>\n 10.32<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 18.47<\/td>\n -10.26%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Eagles<\/td>\n 12.25<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -14.98%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Packers<\/td>\n 6.83<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -19.24%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jaguars<\/td>\n 10.12<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -23.08%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Broncos<\/td>\n 7.99<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 18.77<\/td>\n -18.05%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Giants<\/td>\n 7.99<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -21.61%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Raiders<\/td>\n 6.05<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 6.5<\/td>\n 8<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -24.88%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Cowboys<\/td>\n 9.93<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 12<\/td>\n 16.17<\/td>\n -21.41%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Titans<\/td>\n 7.22<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 7.5<\/td>\n 6<\/td>\n 20.6<\/td>\n -16.51%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Falcons<\/td>\n 8.77<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 8.5<\/td>\n 7<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -19.60%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Bills<\/td>\n 10.70<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 10.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 17.14<\/td>\n -16.35%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Chiefs<\/td>\n 11.67<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 11.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -19.24%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Dolphins<\/td>\n 9.35<\/td>\n Under<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -21.93%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Jets<\/td>\n 9.54<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td> \n 7<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -24.45%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Saints<\/td>\n 9.54<\/td>\n Over<\/td>\n 9.5<\/td>\n 9<\/td>\n 0<\/td>\n -26.81%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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\n
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\nComparisons\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Prediction<\/th>\nMedian Error<\/th>\nAVG Error<\/th>\nAll 32 ROI<\/th>\nType<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
BetMGM<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.75<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
BetRivers<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.81<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Caesars<\/td>\n 1.50<\/td>\n 1.88<\/td>\n <\/td>\n Sportsbook<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
ESPN (Clay)<\/td>\n 1.65<\/td>\n 1.92<\/td>\n -3.48%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
The Athletic<\/td>\n 1.70<\/td>\n 1.93<\/td>\n -13.00%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
ego<\/td>\n 1.86<\/td>\n 2.05<\/td>\n -26.81%<\/td>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n\n <\/tr>\n
NFL (Frelund)<\/td>\n 1.90<\/td>\n 2.09<\/td>\n -37.40%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
ProFootballNetwork<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 1.94<\/td>\n -4.16%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
USAToday<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 2.06<\/td>\n 4.48%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
CBS Sports (Breech)<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 2.19<\/td>\n -21.03%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
CBS Sports (Brinson)<\/td>\n 2.00<\/td>\n 2.25<\/td>\n 4.23%<\/td>\n Projection<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\n*Reminder that the primary goal of this project is not about generating the highest ROI or the lowest error in terms of the Win Total prediction. The goal is to accurately portray what should happen given the economic environment of the league and conditions of the organizations within, not what I think will actually happen.*\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n
\nFor Projections that did not come with lines\/odds for the predictions, the same lines\/odds options that were available for ego were used.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\nTop 10 Most Efficient Players\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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\n\n\n \n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Player<\/th>\nOrganization<\/th>\nPosition<\/th>\nAV\/CAP%<\/th>\nAV<\/th>\nCAP%<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Brock Purdy<\/td>\n 49ers<\/td>\n Quarterback<\/td>\n 48.65<\/td>\n 18<\/td>\n 0.37%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Puka Nacua<\/td>\n Rams<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 38.88<\/td>\n 14<\/td>\n 0.37%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
DaRon Bland<\/td>\n Cowboys<\/td>\n Cornerback<\/td>\n 31.71<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0.41%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Amon-Ra St. Brown<\/td>\n Lions<\/td>\n Wide Receiver<\/td>\n 30.00<\/td>\n 15<\/td>\n 0.50%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Sam Howell<\/td>\n FB Team<\/td>\n Quarterback<\/td>\n 26.19<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0.42%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Rasheed Walker<\/td>\n Packers<\/td>\n Offensive Tackle<\/td>\n 25.64<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.39%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Kyren Williams<\/td>\n Rams<\/td>\n Running Back<\/td>\n 23.81<\/td>\n 10<\/td>\n 0.42%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
James Cook<\/td>\n Bills<\/td>\n Running Back<\/td>\n 22.41<\/td>\n 13<\/td>\n 0.59%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Tommy DeVito<\/td>\n Giants<\/td>\n Quarterback<\/td>\n 22.22<\/td>\n 4<\/td>\n 0.18%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n
Terrel Bernard<\/td>\n Bills<\/td>\n Linebacker<\/td>\n 21.57<\/td>\n 11<\/td>\n 0.51%<\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
\n
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\nAV from ProFootballReference<\/a> \/ CAP% from Sportrac<\/a> \/ Min. AV of 3\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2023 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Playoff Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Cowboys (2) 12 93 87 100 2 Ravens (1) 13 91 90 92 3 Bills (2) 11 89 86 91 4 Lions (3) 12 89 89 88 5 Chiefs (3) 11 88 87 89 6 Bengals 9 87 84 91 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-title","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","ub_ctt_via":"","footnotes":""},"featured_image_src":null,"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"egoanalytics","author_link":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/author\/egoanalytics\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"2023 Actual Through Week 18 ORG Rnk Team (Playoff Seed) Wins ORG Coach GM 1 Cowboys (2) 12 93 87 100 2 Ravens (1) 13 91 90 92 3 Bills (2) 11 89 86 91 4 Lions (3) 12 89 89 88 5 Chiefs (3) 11 88 87 89 6 Bengals 9 87 84 91…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/16"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16"}],"version-history":[{"count":65,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/16\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6649,"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/16\/revisions\/6649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egoanalytics.me\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}